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Tennessee and Florida will meet in Sunday’s SEC Championship Game.
Although the tournament’s showpiece does not feature the conference’s best team in Auburn, there’s nobody out there who would argue that the two finalists aren’t deserving of the chance to cut down the nets in Nashville.
One interesting wrinkle to this game is that Florida is projected to be a No. 1 seed when the bracket gets released later on Sunday evening, while Tennessee is likely to slot in as a No. 2.
Perhaps this game could change that calculus, but oftentimes the committee does not take the SEC and Big Ten Championships into account because they result too late in the day and the Selection Sunday broadcast needs the brackets.
Florida opened as a 1.5-point favorite on Sunday, so the bookies are projecting this to be a coin flip.
Read our betting preview for the SEC Championship and check out our exclusive bonus offer from Bet365 below.
Take advantage of Bet365 Sportsbook’s bonus code NYPBET and get a $150 bonus for betting $5 on Florida vs. Tennessee.
Florida vs. Tennessee odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | -5 (-110) | –230 | Over 143.5 (-110) |
| Tennessee | +5 (-110) | +190 | Under 143.5 (-110) |
Florida vs. Tennessee Prediction
Neither one of these teams has put a foot wrong in quite some time.
Florida won nine of its last 10 games in the regular season and the majority of the Gators’ wins in that span were blowouts.
Florida carried that form into the SEC Tournament, making quick work of both Missouri and Alabama en route to the finals.
Florida ranks as the fourth-best team in KenPom’s model and boasts the third-most efficient offense. The Gators are nearly as strong without the ball, and rank ninth-best unit in KenPom’s model.
As impressive as Florida’s resume is, the Volunteers are not far behind at all. The Vols are the No. 5 team in KenPom’s power rankings and boast the third-best defense.
Tennessee upset Auburn, a potential top-overall seed in the Big Dance, in the semifinals.
Florida vs. Tennessee Pick
It is splitting hairs when it comes to projecting this matchup. Not only do these two teams boast similarly terrific statistical profiles, but they traded blowout wins in their two head-to-head matchups.
The one edge you can lean into is the motivation. While Florida likely secured itself a No. 1 seed with its blowout win over Alabama, the Vols will look at this as an opportunity to make a final statement to the Selection Committee, whether they hear it or not.
The Pick: Tennessee Moneyline (+190, Bet365)
Bet365 Sportsbook’s bonus code NYPBET for Florida vs. Tennessee
| Sportsbook | Promo | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | NYPBET | Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose! |
Do you think Tennessee will cut down the nets on Sunday?
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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